Why Iran Can't Sign a Peace Deal: Two Factions, Two Wars, One Government
The reason a US-Iran peace deal keeps slipping away isn't stubbornness in Tehran—it's that Iran no longer speaks with one voice. Two rival power centers want fundamentally different things from these talks, and until one wins the internal fight, no signature Washington gets will actually hold.
Bottom Line
The obstacle to peace isn't a hard Iranian 'no'—it's that no single Iranian authority can deliver a binding 'yes.' With the Supreme Leader missing and moderates and the IRGC pulling in opposite directions, any deal Washington signs is only as solid as Iran's unsettled internal balance of power.
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