U.S. Claims Momentum in Iran Campaign as Enemy Fire Drops—But Silence Carries Its Own Risk
Nearly 11 days into Operation Epic Fury, the Pentagon is declaring progress: American strikes continue while Iranian responses diminish, according to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. But in asymmetric warfare, an enemy going quiet doesn't necessarily mean an enemy going away—it can mean they're changing tactics.
Bottom Line
The Pentagon's claim of waning Iranian resistance might reflect genuine tactical success, strategic deception by Iran, or wishful interpretation of incomplete intelligence. What's missing from Hegseth's statement is more important than what's included: no mention of strategic objectives, exit conditions, or what happens after the bombing stops. An air campaign without a theory of victory is just expensive signaling.