Iran Looks Stable 100 Days Into War—That's Exactly What Should Worry You
A government that looks calm during a war isn't always strong—sometimes it's holding the lid down by force. One hundred days into the war with the US and Israel, Iran's leadership projects stability while quietly tightening repression at home and using its regional proxies as leverage abroad. The risk isn't a sudden collapse; it's a slow-burning internal crisis that could make Iranian behavior harder, not easier, to predict.
Bottom Line
Iran's stability is a managed surface, not a foundation. The combination of a missing Supreme Leader, deadlocked US talks, internal repression, and proxy brinkmanship makes this a regime that's fragile in ways that make it more dangerous, not less. Watch the internal cracks—because that's where the next phase of this war will be decided.